Showing posts with label Bank of England. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bank of England. Show all posts

Friday, 8 July 2011

Mortgages Paid Off In Record Time

Mortgage debtImage via Wikipedia
Experts are worried that the recent trend of home owners using their cash to pay off their mortgages at a record amount could hamper the economy.

The news was revealed yesterday as The Bank of England announced that during the last three months of 2010, borrowers increased the equity in their homes by $7 billion. The statistics show that this is the largest injection of cash since the recording was started back in 1970.

The report has highlighted the contrast between the same period three years ago when home owners used £6.6 billion from their properties to put towards large purchases. This figure was identified as the lowest amount of cash for six years and followed persistent equity withdrawal since 1998.

However, this trend has been dramatically reversed by home owners with less and less taking equity out of their homes and using it to fund their spending habits. This change has got economists worried as it proves that consumers are not spending their spare cash on the high street any more.

Howard Archer, an economist at Global Insight, reasons: “Consumers are being very careful, they want to reduce their debt levels and reducing the amount they owe on their houses is one way of doing that.”

The change in behaviour could have a negative impact on the economy though as Mr Archer continued: “Consumer spending is about 65% of Britain’s income and so if consumers so not spend then it will be very hard for the economy to see decent growth. You are relying on experts and business investment to fuel growth.”

It is thought that the poor returns on savings are part of the reason that homeowners are now using their spare cash to pay off their debts.

The decision to keep interest rates at a record low by the Bank of England has had a knock-on effect on the monthly payments homeowners are paying back on their mortgage. These payments have reduced dramatically and now people are using any additional cash to reduce their total loan.

References:

The Bank of England

Mortgages paid off in record time

UK Inflation Strikes Again

The Bank of England in Threadneedle Street, Lo...Image via WikipediaWhen inflation dropped for the first time in eight months it seemed that Britain’s economy had offered policymakers something to smile about. The shrinking trade gap also stoked hopes that economy recovery led by exports was at last set to kick in.

Major supermarket chains offering huge discounts also meant that the headline rate of inflation, as assessed by the consumer prices index (CPI), came in at a much lower rate than expected at 4pc for March.

The rates are still double the Bank of England’s 2pc target, but the latest figure was well short if the consensus prediction that the rate would linger at February’s 4.4pc, a 28-month high.

The levels of inflation are measured by the retail prices index (RPI) which takes into consideration mortgage costs which were seen to fall from 5.5pc to 5.3pc.

The figures are much better than experts anticipated, even despite the continued sharp rises in global oil and commodity prices. David Kern, chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce said: “The fall in inflation points to sharp competitive pressures in the high street, and confirms our assessment that businesses are unable to increase prices while disposable incomes are being squeezed.”

The Bank’s decision to freeze interest rate increases “until the recovery is more secure” is supported by these latest figures according to Mr Kern. It seems he also has investors on his side as many pushed back their expectations of when the Monetary Policy Committee will eventually raise the base rate from 0.5pc.

Research showed that more than half of the slowdown in inflation was due to food and non-alcoholic drinks where shops experienced a record price drop of 1.4pc in just a month as many drastically cut their prices, according to the Office for National Statistics.

The price cuts saw the price of fruit fall 4.7pc month on month, which was a record for that time of year, while prices of bread and cereals were down 2.6pc, a figure that was the biggest ever monthly fall.

Monthly trade figures were also better than most expected, which supported the hopes that trade did not drag on GDP growth during the last quarter.


Experts believe that the changes to rates are a positive effect on the recovery on the economy. Nida Ali, economic advisor to Ernst & Young’s ITEM Club summarised by saying: “The rebalancing of the UK economy towards exports seems to be on track.”

References:

Office for National Statistics

Monetary Policy Commitee

Chitika

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